EDUCATIONAL PIPELINE LOSS RATE


TABLE 2: Loss Rate per 100 Ninth Graders at Each Transition Point (2002)

* 150% time refers to college entrants completing an associate's degree wihin three years or a bachelor's degree within six years.
** Delaware data are partly from 2000 because technical colleges did not report first-ime freshman enrollment.

Using the same data and starting group of 100 ninth graders, Table 2 shows the proportion of students lost at each transition point.

Table 2 shows the following trends in state success:

  • Wide Differences in Results. The states' results vary widely. The average success rate of the top 25 percent is about double that of the bottom 25 percent. The highest performers are almost three times as productive as the lowest performer.
  • Similar Results, Different Routes. States with the same final results vary in how they got there. Georgia, Idaho, and Oklahoma are close in results. Yet Idaho and Oklahoma graduate more than 70 percent of their ninth graders. Georgia loses half its ninth graders before high school graduation, but a higher percentage of its high school graduates go to college.
  • Different Degrees of Policy Focus. Educational needs vary in different states, resulting in widely different levels of attention needed at each transition point.


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